Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.232309 9.185256 10.260843 11.576953 13.160963 15.028475 1.743143e+01
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.643615 7.832645 9.295322 11.270886 13.942833 17.550384 2.302273e+01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.830849 7.116959 8.789416 11.205239 14.760030 20.092962 2.940350e+01
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.268876 6.598130 8.400529 11.144379 15.470177 22.581136 3.675445e+01
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.951778 6.347600 8.314889 11.463599 16.779891 26.399890 4.870966e+01
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.504234 5.857301 7.810700 11.038554 16.740195 27.765137 5.639776e+01
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.128816 5.431173 7.348225 10.600273 16.567491 28.794745 6.408534e+01
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.849427 5.119411 7.023972 10.338586 16.655800 30.398104 7.495176e+01
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.651385 4.911238 6.837582 10.282011 17.121562 33.032801 9.241080e+01
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.628812 4.965208 7.070087 10.996184 19.325101 41.039962 1.471270e+02
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.548790 4.921403 7.134742 11.407098 20.988466 48.649500 2.280702e+02
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.396062 4.749883 6.965943 11.339864 21.519585 53.087330 3.111647e+02
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.233209 4.563470 6.776419 11.251597 22.107049 58.701353 4.693744e+02
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.050085 4.334418 6.497078 10.952251 22.112925 62.379013 6.778127e+02
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.919029 4.182243 6.340783 10.889228 22.751095 69.515548 1.258785e+03
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.801165 4.043897 6.196668 10.830899 23.395140 77.604723 2.943894e+03
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.739636 3.996449 6.215159 11.136759 25.249406 95.227113 4.731145e+04
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.597588 3.801689 5.940115 10.729464 24.717416 97.496376 7.531429e+06
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.464789 3.616559 5.671632 10.309149 24.052064 98.406233 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.361154 3.477380 5.482642 10.058022 23.911772 103.462312 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.286835 3.385974 5.380055 10.003714 24.456398 115.440459 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.294620 3.439969 5.566274 10.688845 28.002530 167.826275 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.270216 3.434383 5.632557 11.082635 30.663653 228.356829 NaN